As the 2025 NHL Draft approaches, all eyes are on Michael Misa — and oddsmakers at bet365 have made their stance clear. Misa is a commanding -400 favorite to be selected No. 2 overall, positioning him as the overwhelming front-runner behind projected top pick Matthew Schaefer.
What -400 odds mean
At -400, bettors must wager $400 to win $100.
That equates to an implied probability of 80 percent, suggesting bet365 sees Misa as the likeliest player to be taken second overall by a wide margin. It's a steep number, but one backed by performance, pedigree, and organizational need.
Misa’s Resume Backs It Up
Michael Misa has done everything possible to justify this price tag. He was granted exceptional status into the OHL — a rare honor previously given to players like Connor McDavid and John Tavares — and he has more than lived up to the billing.
134 points (62 goals, 72 assists) in 65 games during the 2024-25 season
One of the fastest 50-goal scorers in recent OHL history
Known for elite skating, hockey sense, and two-way maturity
Scouts have praised his ability to take over games, and his name has been near the top of draft boards for over a year.
“There’s no player I’d trust more in a do-or-die situation in this draft class than Michael Misa,” one Western Conference scout told TSN.
Team Fit and Draft Order
The No. 1 pick, which belongs to the New York Islanders, is widely expected to be defenseman Matthew Schaefer.
That leaves teams like San Jose and Chicago, depending on the final order, as top contenders to land Misa at No. 2. Both organizations are seen as needing a dynamic, play-driving forward — which Misa certainly is.
Given his toolkit and production, Misa makes sense as the “safe” pick after Schaefer.
What Bettors Should Know
Low-risk, low-return: At -400, the value isn't massive, but the market consensus is strong.
Line movement unlikely: Unless rumors suggest a shake-up at No. 1 or No. 2, expect Misa to remain the favorite.
Alternative options: Bettors who think another player — like James Hagens, Porter Martone, or Caleb Desnoyers — could sneak into the No. 2 spot can find much longer odds for bigger payouts.
Final Analysis
Michael Misa has the pedigree, production, and positioning to go second overall in the 2025 NHL Draft — and the odds reflect that. At -400 on bet365, sportsbooks are essentially daring bettors to fade what appears to be a near-certainty.
Unless something dramatic changes in the weeks leading up to the draft, Misa at No. 2 is shaping up to be the most predictable moment of Day 1.
